LAKE SEDIMENT CHRYSOPHYTE SCALES FROM THE NORTHEASTERN U.S.A. AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP TO ENVIRONMENTAL VARIABLES

Chrysophyte scale assemblages were analyzed in the surface sediments (0–1 cm) of 146 lakes sampled in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program–Surface Waters (EMAP-SW) in the northeastern U.S.A. Chrysophyte data from the EMAP lakes were combined with a previous study of 71 Adirondack PIRLA (Paleoecological Investigation of Recent Lake Acidification) lakes and collectively analyzed to examine the indicator potential of scaled chrysophytes in the northeastern U.S.A. with respect to several environmental variables. Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) was used to determine which environmental variables influenced the distributions of species. Forward selection and Monte Carlo permutation tests showed that 51% of the variance in the chrysophyte assemblages was related to pH. The other six significant variables (conductivity, chloride, total phosphorus [TP], elevation, lake depth, and watershed area) contributed an additional 31% of the total (82%) variance explained by the seven forward-selected variables. Similar to previous studies, many taxa showed distinct distribution patterns with respect to pH. Partial and constrained CCAs indicated that, although all seven variables explained significant proportions of variation in the species data, a reliable inference model could be developed only for lake-water pH. The strength of this model ( R ²= 0.78, RMSE_boot= 0.47 of a pH unit) is comparable to a recently constructed diatom-based model for the EMAP lakes. The use of both models in paleolimnological and biomonitoring studies would be advantageous because they would provide two independent lines of evidence of environmental change.     

Flower number and floral components in ten angiosperm species: an examination of assumptions about trade-offs in reproductive evolution

A common approach to modelling reproductive evolution in flowering plants includes an implicit assumption that module number and resource allocation per module follow an inverse hyperbolic trade-off. This assumption has not been thoroughly tested. In ten herbaceous and small woody species I examined phenotypic partial correlations between flower number (measured in relation to vegetative biomass) and each of three floral components: pollen number per flower, ovule number per flower, and corolla size. Significantly negative correlations between flower number and at least one of the floral components occurred in four of the ten species. These phenotypic correlations suggest the existence of true (genetically based) trade-offs, because environmental correlations are likely to be positive, but the significant negative relationships are linear except in one case. Thus, evolutionary tradeoffs involving flower number seem likely in some cases, but there is little to indicate that hyperbolic trade-offs are common. The phenotypic patterns investigated here cannot provide definitive answers about the form of trade-offs. Nonetheless, theoretical attention to the potential evolutionary consequences of trade-offs other than the implicit hyperbolic form is needed.     

Climatic determinants of budburst seasonality in four temperate-zone tree species

Several physiological processes controlling tree phenology remain poorly understood and in particular bud dormancy. Many studies have emphasised the action of chilling temperatures in breaking dormancy. However, the effect of the preceding summer temperatures has rarely been investigated although there is some evidence that they may be involved in the settlement and intensity of dormancy as well as cold acclimation. In this paper, thermal time to budburst in relation to the duration of chilling outdoors, preceding summer temperatures and forcing temperatures was studied by outdoors experiments in seedlings of Platanus acerifolia , Vitis vinifera , Quercus pubescens and Castanea sativa . Results showed that temperatures of the preceding summer had no significant effect on the timing of budburst, P. acerifolia and Q. pubescens showed a very weak response to the duration of chilling, and the phenological characteristics of each species were found to be adapted to the climate conditions of its own geographical area. The phenological model used in this study explained 82–100% of the variance of the data without taking into account summer temperatures. Thus, although summer temperatures may be well involved in the intensity of dormancy and cold hardiness, they do not significantly affect budburst and therefore may not need to be considered in phenological models for predicting budburst.     

Sustainability indices for exploited populations

Evaluating the sustainability of hunting is key to the conservation of species exploited for bushmeat. Researchers are often hampered by a lack of basic biological data, the usual response to which is to develop sustainability indices based on highly simplified population models. However, the standard indices in the bushmeat literature do not perform well under realistic conditions of uncertainty, bias in parameter estimation, and habitat loss. Another possible approach to estimating the sustainability of hunting under uncertainty is to use Bayesian statistics, but this is mathematically demanding. Red listing of threatened species has to be carried out in extremely data-poor situations: uncertainty has been incorporated into this process in a relatively simple and intuitive way using fuzzy numbers. The current methods for estimating sustainability of bushmeat hunting also do not incorporate spatial heterogeneity. No-take areas are one management tool that can address uncertainty in a spatially explicit way.     

Response of wheat canopy CO2 and water gas-exchange to soil water content under ambient and elevated CO2

The nature of the interaction between drought and elevated CO₂ partial pressure (pC_a) is critically important for the effects of global change on crops. Some crop models assume that the relative responses of transpiration and photosynthesis to soil water deficit are unaltered by elevated pC_a, while others predict decreased sensitivity to drought at elevated pC_a. These assumptions were tested by measuring canopy photosynthesis and transpiration in spring wheat (cv. Minaret) stands grown in boxes with 100 L rooting volume. Plants were grown under controlled environments with constant light (300 µmol m^?2 s^?1) at ambient (36 Pa) or elevated (68 Pa) pC_a and were well watered throughout growth or had a controlled decline in soil water starting at ear emergence. Drought decreased final aboveground biomass (?15%) and grain yield (?19%) while elevated pC_a increased biomass (+24%) and grain yield (+29%) and there was no significant interaction. Elevated pC_a increased canopy photosynthesis by 15% on average for both water regimes and increased dark respiration per unit ground area in well‐watered plants, but not drought‐grown ones. Canopy transpiration and photosynthesis were decreased in drought‐grown plants relative to well‐watered plants after about 20–25 days from the start of the drought. Elevated pC_a decreased transpiration only slightly during drought, but canopy photosynthesis continued to be stimulated so that net growth per unit water transpired increased by 21%. The effect of drought on canopy photosynthesis was not the consequence of a loss of photosynthetic capacity initially, as photosynthesis continued to be stimulated proportionately by a fixed increase in irradiance. Drought began to decrease canopy transpiration below a relative plant‐available soil water content of 0.6 and canopy photosynthesis and growth below 0.4. The shape of these responses were unaffected by pC_a, supporting the simple assumption used in some models that they are independent of pC_a.     

How much do local factors matter for predicting transient ecosystem dynamics? Suggestions from permafrost formation in boreal peatlands

With rapid climate warming, ecosystems will probably exhibit complex dynamics because local factors and life history attributes of species mediate the effects of regional climate change. To assess the relative importance of local vs. regional processes on permafrost formation in boreal peatlands, I sampled for permafrost and factors affecting its formation in 38 collapse scars across a 4 °C mean annual temperature (MAT) gradient in the discontinuous permafrost zone of northern Manitoba, Canada. Three complimentary approaches were used to model factors important to permafrost formation at both local and regional scales. In the first analysis, a mechanistic, spatial model of permafrost formation was developed as a function of Picea mariana size and proximity. In the second approach, permafrost formation was modelled as a function of two local factors, diameter of Picea mariana trees and emergent organic matter depth, and the regional factor, mean annual temperature (MAT). Finally, published aerial photography data were used to determine whether the proportion of bogs with permafrost changes across a MAT gradient. Results show that permafrost formation in boreal permafrost peatlands is best described as a locally driven process within regional climatic constraints. At local scales of 1–2 meters, the spatial and size distributions of trees controlled the spatial distribution of permafrost. At regional scales, tree size was a significantly better predictor than emergent organic matter or MAT. These results suggest that transient models of discontinuous permafrost based only on climate may poorly predict changes in vegetation and permafrost.     

Growth strategies in the squid Loligo vulgaris from Portuguese waters

The growth of the European squid Loligo vulgaris in northwest Portuguese waters is described and the influences of gender and hatching season analysed, based on statolith readings from individuals of a wide range of sizes. Male and female growth follows different models, males attaining a higher length-at-age than females. Males display increasing growth rates irrespective of the hatching season, but the length-at-age is higher in animals hatched during the warm season. Females may exhibit asymptotic growth or not, depending upon the environmental conditions to which they are exposed through their life cycle. Although growth rates after hatching are lower in females hatched during the cold season, favourable feeding and temperature conditions during the following spring and summer months contribute not only to increase growth rates but also to delay sexual maturation. The higher length-at-age of squid hatching in the warm season, observed in both genders, provides evidence that the temperature close to hatching has a significant impact on the size of juveniles and subadults. However, there is also strong evidence that throughout their life, environmental conditions continue to play an important role in growth rates and in defining the shape of growth.     

Global seagrass distribution and diversity: A bioregional model

Seagrasses, marine flowering plants, are widely distributed along temperate and tropical coastlines of the world. Seagrasses have key ecological roles in coastal ecosystems and can form extensive meadows supporting high biodiversity. The global species diversity of seagrasses is low (< 60 species), but species can have ranges that extend for thousands of kilometers of coastline. Seagrass bioregions are defined here, based on species assemblages, species distributional ranges, and tropical and temperate influences. Six global bioregions are presented: four temperate and two tropical. The temperate bioregions include the Temperate North Atlantic, the Temperate North Pacific, the Mediterranean, and the Temperate Southern Oceans. The Temperate North Atlantic has low seagrass diversity, the major species being Zostera marina, typically occurring in estuaries and lagoons. The Temperate North Pacific has high seagrass diversity with Zostera spp. in estuaries and lagoons as well as Phyllospadix spp. in the surf zone. The Mediterranean region has clear water with vast meadows of moderate diversity of both temperate and tropical seagrasses, dominated by deep-growing Posidonia oceanica. The Temperate Southern Oceans bioregion includes the temperate southern coastlines of Australia, Africa and South America. Extensive meadows of low-to-high diversity temperate seagrasses are found in this bioregion, dominated by various species of Posidonia and Zostera. The tropical bioregions are the Tropical Atlantic and the Tropical Indo-Pacific, both supporting mega-herbivore grazers, including sea turtles and sirenia. The Tropical Atlantic bioregion has clear water with a high diversity of seagrasses on reefs and shallow banks, dominated by Thalassia testudinum. The vast Tropical Indo-Pacific has the highest seagrass diversity in the world, with as many as 14 species growing together on reef flats although seagrasses also occur in very deep waters. The global distribution of seagrass genera is remarkably consistent north and south of the equator; the northern and southern hemispheres share ten seagrass genera and only have one unique genus each. Some genera are much more speciose than others, with the genus Halophila having the most seagrass species. There are roughly the same number of temperate and tropical seagrass genera as well as species. The most widely distributed seagrass is Ruppia maritima, which occurs in tropical and temperate zones in a wide variety of habitats. Seagrass bioregions at the scale of ocean basins are identified based on species distributions which are supported by genetic patterns of diversity. Seagrass bioregions provide a useful framework for interpreting ecological, physiological and genetic results collected in specific locations or from particular species.     

Detecting and managing an overgrazing-drought synergism in the threatened <Emphasis Type="Italic">Echeveria longissima</Emphasis> (Crassulaceae): the role of retrospective demographic analysis

Echeveria longissima, a threatened herb whose habitat has been severely overgrazed and eroded, was studied for three years in a currently grazed and a fenced area. Matrix population models were used to assess if livestock elimination provides a proper management strategy. The merits of retrospective perturbation analyses in terms of management planning have been debated. Nevertheless, they may prove useful when applied in combination with exclosures because they may detect the effects of anthropogenic disturbance on population dynamics. Thus, the results of retrospective and prospective methods were compared. A rapid decrease in population size was projected in both areas, even though it was faster in the exposed one. The demographic processes that were favourable or detrimental in a given year were magnified outside of the fence, but buffered in the exclosure, showing a strong drought-disturbance synergism. Thus, the largest difference in the population growth rate λ between areas was observed in the driest year. Higher nurse-plant density inside the fence seems to alleviate drought effects. The use of prospective analysis alone may lead to erroneous management decisions, since the highest elasticities corresponded to transitions that were favoured by human activities. While allowing for an increased λ in the short term, intervention aimed at increasing these transitions further without attending others that are lessened by disturbance may introduce large changes in the population dynamics, with negative long-term consequences. Retrospective methods can detect which processes have been altered by disturbance and its synergisms, so we may more efficiently restore healthy population dynamics.     

Effect of reproductive modes and environmental heterogeneity in the population dynamics of a geographically widespread clonal desert cactus

The dynamics of plant populations in arid environments are largely affected by the unpredictable environmental conditions and are fine-tuned by biotic factors, such as modes of recruitment. A single species must cope with both spatial and temporal heterogeneity that trigger pulses of sexual and clonal establishment throughout its distributional range. We studied two populations of the clonal, purple prickly pear cactus, Opuntia macrocentra, in order to contrast the factors responsible for the population dynamics of a common, widely distributed species. The study sites were located in protected areas that correspond to extreme latitudinal locations for this species within the Chihuahuan Desert. We studied both populations for four consecutive years and determined the demographic consequences of environmental variability and the mode of reproduction using matrix population models, life table response experiments (LTREs), and loop and perturbation analyses. Although both populations seemed fairly stable (population growth rate, λ∼1), different demographic parameters and different life cycle routes were responsible for this stability in each population. In the southernmost population (MBR) LTRE and loop and elasticity analyses showed that stasis is the demographic process with the highest contributions to λ, followed by sexual reproduction, and clonal propagation contributed the least. The northern population (CR) had both higher elasticities and larger contributions of stasis, followed by clonal propagation and sexual recruitment. Loop analysis also showed that individuals in CR have more paths to complete a life cycle than those in MBR. As a consequence, each population differed in life history traits (e.g., size class structure, size at sexual maturity, and reproductive value). Numerical perturbation analyses showed a small effect of the seed bank on the λ of both populations, while the transition from seeds to seedlings had an important effect mainly in the northern population. Clonal propagation (higher survival and higher contributions to vital rates) seems to be more important for maintaining populations over long time periods than sexual reproduction.